ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia

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Descrição

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a crucial driver of fire weather in Australia, with the correlation between ENSO and Australian fire weather having intensified over the past 2 decades. However, the underlying causes for this change have not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we utilize reanalysis datasets and numerical model simulations to demonstrate that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) could potentially modulate the ENSO–Australian fire weather relationship. The correlation between ENSO and the Australian Fire Weather Index (FWI) increases from 0.17 to 0.70 as the AMO transitions from its negative to positive phase. This strengthening effect can be attributed to atmospheric teleconnection mechanisms. Specifically, the positive AMO phase, characterized by warming in the northern and tropical Atlantic, generates Rossby wave trains, leading to high-pressure systems over Australia. Consequently, local temperature and wind speed increase, while precipitation decreases. This signal, superimposed on ENSO, serves to amplify the ENSO effect on Australian fire weather.
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Schematic representation of two major mechanisms behind the North
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Relations - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Global Fire Forecasts Using Both Large‐Scale Climate Indices and Local Meteorological Parameters - Shen - 2019 - Global Biogeochemical Cycles - Wiley Online Library
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Atmosphere, Free Full-Text
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Synthesis of Knowledge: Fire History and Climate Change, PDF, General Circulation Model
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Global Fire Forecasts Using Both Large‐Scale Climate Indices and Local Meteorological Parameters - Shen - 2019 - Global Biogeochemical Cycles - Wiley Online Library
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Influence of local scale and oceanic teleconnections on regional fire danger and wildfire trends - ScienceDirect
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Atmosphere, Free Full-Text
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Modulation of the Relationship between ENSO and Its Combination Mode by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 11 (2020)
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Relations - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Modulation of the Relationship between ENSO and Its Combination Mode by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 11 (2020)
ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between  El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia
Frontiers Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Modulates the Relation of ENSO With the Precipitation in the Central-Western Indian Ocean
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